Ammonium Sulfate Market Report — Week 39, 2026
Chinese domestic ammonium sulfate pushed higher again this week — caprolactam-grade ex-works reached ¥1,230-1,270/t in Shandong and Hualu Hengsheng lifted quotations on 24 September. Export fob held near $205-215/t with Brazil steady, and the end-September allocation round is now the market's biggest variable.
Published 2026-09-25 · 9 min read
This is our market report for the week of 21-25 September 2026 — a week in which the domestic Chinese market did the moving and the export market waited for an allocation decision.
The short version: domestic caprolactam-grade climbed to ¥1,230-1,270/t ex-works in Shandong, export fob held near $205-215/t, Brazil stayed firm, and everyone is now watching the end-September allocation round.
The week in numbers
| Grade / basis | Level (week of 21-25 Sep) | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Caprolactam-grade, Shandong ex-works | ¥1,230-1,270/t | ▲ firm |
| Coking-grade, Shandong | ¥981-1,175/t | ▲ active auctions |
| Hualu Hengsheng caprolactam-grade bulk (24 Sep) | ¥1,320/t | ▲ +¥20 |
| Hualu Hengsheng power-plant grade (24 Sep) | ¥1,175/t | ▲ +¥80 |
| Standard caprolactam-grade, fob China | ~$205/t | ▲ modest |
| Compacted / extruded granules, fob China | ~$215/t | ▲ modest |
| Compacted, cfr Brazil main ports | ~$250-255/t | firm |
| Caprolactam-grade, cfr Southeast Asia | ~$230/t | ▲ modest |
Domestic reference points moved through the week:
- 20 Sep: Cangzhou Xuyang lifted its caprolactam-grade offer ¥50 to ¥1,270/t bulk, with normal offtake
- 23 Sep: Shandong caprolactam-grade assessed at ¥1,230-1,270/t, coking-grade at ¥981-1,175/t — with further upside expected as auctions stayed competitive
- 24 Sep: Hualu Hengsheng raised caprolactam-grade bulk ¥20 to ¥1,320/t and power-plant grade ¥80 to ¥1,175/t
For context, the previous week (14-18 September) closed with the domestic spot benchmark around ¥1,230/t, up 3.07% on the week and nearly 30% year-on-year. This week extended that trend rather than reversing it.
What drove the week
Domestic auctions led, export followed. The strongest signals came from coking-grade and steel-grade auctions, where bidding stayed aggressive. The reason underneath is compaction demand: Chinese compactors are buying raw material to serve Brazilian granular programmes while delivered Brazilian values remain workable. That demand chain — Brazilian buying → granulation margin → compactor restocking → auction prices — is still intact, exactly as it was last week.
Power-plant and lower grades repriced fastest. The ¥80 jump in power-plant grade at Hualu Hengsheng is a wider move than the headline caprolactam figure, and it repeats the pattern we flagged last week: when availability tightens, the bottom of the grade ladder reprices first.
Export levels held rather than jumped. Standard caprolactam-grade sat near $205/t fob and compacted granules near $215/t fob on the latest assessments. With domestic ex-works values around ¥1,230-1,270/t, the fob equivalent of domestic material is close to parity with export assessments — the same structure we described in our 23 September note. At parity, sellers have little reason to discount, and tonnage moves on allocation rather than price.
Policy: the transition is over, the allocation question is not
The 15 September end of the export inspection transition period has settled into a workable routine: enterprises holding valid CIQ approvals continue to load and ship, and approved cargoes are clearing normally. What the transition end did not do is expand the pool of exportable tonnage — volumes remain tied to approved quantities.
That puts the second allocation round, expected by the end of September, at the centre of the fourth-quarter outlook:
- If it arrives with volume and extends eligibility (steel-grade in particular), Q4 supply loosens and the current premium structure eases.
- If it is delayed or restricted, tightness persists into October-November and offers will keep clustering around whoever still holds approved tonnage.
Until that lands, the market’s information advantage sits with sellers who know their allocation status — not with buyers watching assessment ranges.
Demand: Brazil carries on, Southeast Asia rests
Brazil remains the engine. The October-November planting window keeps compacted and granular demand firm at around $250-255/t cfr main ports, and recent weeks have seen ammonium sulfate gain roughly $40/t internationally alongside rising urea. With urea fob China in the high-$300s and Middle East supply constrained, the cost-per-nitrogen comparison still favours ammonium sulfate for sulfur-hungry soybean ground.
Southeast Asia is quiet, as it was last week. The July-September application season has closed, buyers are executing existing contracts, and crystalline material for compound fertilizer blending is seeing thin new enquiry. Regional caprolactam-grade assessments sit near $230/t cfr.
Secondary markets showed selective life:
- Turkey — demand recovering; standard offered around $260/t cfr, granular $270-290/t cfr
- Mexico — an importer seeking around 30,000t of standard and granular material for east coast delivery
- East Africa — Chinese standard offers at $240-250/t cfr finding no buyers at that level, a reminder that not every region has accepted the higher price structure
Costs: the floor is rising
Sulphur has stayed firm on the Tampa and North Africa benchmarks. Sulphur sets the production-cost floor for synthetic-route material — ammonia plus sulphuric acid — which is what fills the bottom of the offer stack when by-product grades are tight. With the by-product side already allocation-constrained, a rising synthetic floor removes the usual safety valve that caps rallies. Our production source guide explains why the routes do not substitute for one another.
What buyers should do now
Get allocation clarity before negotiating price. Ask a supplier whether they hold approved tonnage for your loading window. A firm answer is worth more than a $5/t discount from someone who cannot ship.
Keep grade and destination matched. Brazil wants compacted or granular; Southeast Asia and ANZ blending programmes want crystalline. The grades price on different bases and do not substitute.
Plan around the allocation announcement. If your programme stretches into Q4, model both outcomes: allocation arrives with volume (prices ease, wait if you can) or it does not (lock tonnage now). Do not run a single scenario.
Verify specification against the lot COA. Mixed-source compacted material carries different guaranteed figures than single-route crystalline. Confirm nitrogen assay, free acid and moisture against your application before comparing prices across grades.
Treat every cfr number as parcel-specific. Freight remains the most volume-sensitive component of delivered pricing; a Brazil cfr for one parcel size does not transfer to another.
Next week’s watch list
| Variable | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Second export allocation round (due end-September) | The single largest variable for Q4 supply and pricing |
| Steel-grade export eligibility | Inclusion would materially widen the supply pool |
| Brazilian October-November buying pace | The demand engine; any slowdown eases auction pressure |
| Urea trajectory | Hormuz disruption keeps nitrogen elevated, supporting AS relative value |
| Sulphur benchmarks | A rising synthetic-route cost floor removes the rally cap |
| Southeast Asia restocking | A post-lull pick-up would add competition for available tonnage |
The base case into next week: domestic firm, export fob steady-to-firm, and the allocation round deciding everything downstream of it.
Sourcing ammonium sulfate from China
We supply standard, granular (compacted) and crystalline ammonium sulfate from China to agricultural, compound-fertilizer and industrial buyers, loading at Qingdao or Tianjin with full export documentation.
- Ammonium Sulfate — the full grade range and typical specifications
- Granular Ammonium Sulfate — for direct soil application; the grade Brazilian programmes specify
- Crystalline Ammonium Sulfate — for compound fertilizer blending and industrial use
- How to import ammonium sulfate from China — documentation, inspection and shipping, step by step
Send your destination port, the grade you need, your volume and your required loading window, and we will confirm availability and quote on that basis.
On pricing in this article. The figures above are indicative market assessment levels for the grades and bases referenced, drawn from our own market monitoring and published industry data. They are not offers and do not represent a quotation for any specific parcel, origin or shipment window. Ammonium sulfate prices vary with grade, production source, packaging, parcel size, destination and freight, and are quoted per inquiry and confirmed in the sales contract.
Frequently asked questions
How did ammonium sulfate prices move in the week of 21-25 September 2026?
Chinese domestic values firmed further. Shandong caprolactam-grade traded around ¥1,230-1,270/t ex-works by 23 September, and on 24 September Hualu Hengsheng raised its caprolactam-grade bulk quotation ¥20 to ¥1,320/t and its power-plant grade ¥80 to ¥1,175/t. Coking-grade held a wide ¥981-1,175/t band in Shandong, with steel mills' auctions still attracting active bidding. On the export side, assessments held near $205/t fob for standard caprolactam-grade and $215/t fob for compacted granules.
Why is the domestic Chinese market stronger than the export market right now?
Because the two are trading on different constraints. Exportable tonnage is limited to holders of valid CIQ approvals following the 15 September transition end, so export volumes are rationed by paperwork rather than price. Domestic buyers — compound fertilizer plants, industrial users and compactors restocking raw material for Brazilian demand — are bidding on open auctions, which pushes domestic values up while export assessments move more slowly.
What is the second export allocation round and why does it matter?
China's ammonium sulfate exports this quarter have run on allocated volumes tied to export inspection approvals. A second allocation round has been expected by the end of September. Its volume, and whether steel-grade producers become export-eligible under it, will decide whether fourth-quarter supply loosens or stays tight. It is the single largest variable for Q4 planning.
Is Brazil still driving ammonium sulfate demand?
Yes. Brazil is in its seasonal peak window for compacted and granular material ahead of soybean planting, and delivered values near $250-255/t cfr have kept granulation economics in China workable, which in turn supports coking-grade auction prices. Southeast Asia remains in a seasonal lull by contrast, with crystalline demand quiet.
Should buyers wait for prices to fall?
The current structure does not obviously support a correction. Domestic Chinese values are rising, exportable supply is allocation-constrained, and sulphur — the cost floor for synthetic-route material — has moved up. Buyers with fixed programmes are better served by securing allocation for their loading window than by waiting, and should treat every cfr figure as parcel-specific.
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Ammonium sulfate
(NH4)2SO4 · 21-0-0-24S · crystalline and granular